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Musk highlights India’s declining fertility and demographic shift

Intro

Elon Musk highlighted India’s declining fertility rate, warning that births falling below replacement level could reshape demographics.

New Delhi

Tesla and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has drawn attention to India’s falling birth rate, noting that the country’s fertility level has dropped below the replacement rate needed to maintain long-term population stability. Musk shared his views on social media platform X while responding to data indicating a steady decline in births across the country.

According to recent figures, India’s total fertility rate (TFR) has fallen to 1.9 children per woman, below the replacement level of 2.1. The decline marks a significant demographic shift for a nation that recently became the world’s most populous country after surpassing China in population size.

Musk remarked that India’s birth rate has been below replacement level among highly educated groups for several years. His comments came in response to reports highlighting that fertility rates have decreased from 2.3 to 1.9 over the past decade. In Delhi, the fertility rate has reportedly dropped to 1.2, a figure lower than that of several developed countries.

Experts say the trend reflects broader social and economic changes. Rising education levels, urbanisation, greater participation of women in the workforce, and changing family preferences have encouraged smaller family sizes in many parts of India. Improved access to healthcare and family planning services has also contributed to the decline.

The United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA) has noted that while India has made considerable progress in health and education, challenges remain. Social and economic inequalities, maternal mortality, gender discrimination, early marriage, and teenage pregnancies continue to affect many communities.

Although India’s population currently exceeds 1.46 billion, demographers suggest that sustained fertility rates below replacement level could eventually lead to population ageing and a gradual decline in overall population. The development is expected to shape future economic, social, and policy discussions across the country in the decades ahead.

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