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Key economic events set to shape markets

Key events include the RBI policy meeting for inflation and liquidity cues, and November auto sales data, potentially boosting confidence in consumption recovery


MUMBAI

The Indian stock market is preparing for a busy and important week as it steps into the final month of 2025. Investors will be closely watching several key factors, including the Reserve Bank of India’s upcoming monetary policy meeting, monthly automobile sales data, and major economic indicators from the United States. While strong domestic fundamentals and steady global cues may support the market, uncertainties around interest rates and global inflation could keep traders cautious.

On Friday, November 28, the benchmark indices closed nearly flat as investors booked profits and waited for India’s Q2 GDP numbers. The Sensex slipped 14 points to settle at 85,706.67, while the Nifty fell 13 points to close at 26,202.95. Market experts said the index continues to hit fresh highs and maintains a positive trend. They expect the next resistance levels at 26,500 and 27,000. On the downside, they identified support at the 20-day exponential moving average near 25,900, followed by 25,700.

The most important event for the coming week will be the RBI Monetary Policy Committee meeting scheduled from December 3 to 5. Investors will be looking for guidance on inflation, liquidity conditions, and the broader economic outlook as the year nears its end. Another major trigger will be the release of November auto sales data on December 1. Strong performance across vehicle categories could boost confidence in India’s consumption recovery.

Global factors will also influence market sentiment. Wall Street will have a full trading week, and US data flow will pick up as federal agencies resume reporting. Investors will watch for the delayed September readings of the PCE and Core PCE inflation index on Friday. The ADP payroll report for November, due Wednesday, will also be tracked closely. Meanwhile, India’s trade talks with the US continue to progress, with expectations of a deal by year-end.

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